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The effect of climate change and adaptation policy on agricultural production in Eastern Africa

Goytom Kahsay and Lars Hansen ()

Ecological Economics, 2016, vol. 121, issue C, 54-64

Abstract: We estimate the production function for agricultural output in Eastern Africa incorporating climate variables disaggregated into growing and non-growing seasons. We find a substantial negative effect of within growing season variance of precipitation. We simulate predicted climate change for the region and find a resulting output reduction of between 1.2% and 4.5%. Our simulation also demonstrates substantial potential for economic benefits from mitigating the effects of within growing season precipitation variability through conventional technologies such as flexible planting and rainwater harvesting on the same scale as the potential loss from predicted climate change.

Keywords: Climate change; Adaptation policy; Eastern Africa; Agricultural production (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q18 Q54 O55 E23 O13 R11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Working Paper: The Effect of Climate Change and Adaptation Policy on Agricultural Production in Eastern Africa (2014) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecolec:v:121:y:2016:i:c:p:54-64

DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2015.11.016

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