The Effect of Climate Change and Adaptation Policy on Agricultural Production in Eastern Africa
Goytom Kahsay and
Lars Hansen ()
No 2014/08, IFRO Working Paper from University of Copenhagen, Department of Food and Resource Economics
We estimate the production function for agricultural output in Eastern Africa incorporating climate variables disaggregated into growing and non-growing seasons. We find a substantial negative effect of within growing season variance of precipitation. We simulate predicted climate change for the region and find a resulting output reduction of between 1.2% and 4.5%. We also find substantial potential for mitigating the effects of within growing season precipitation variability through conventional technologies such as flexible planting and rainwater harvesting that substantially exceeds the potential loss from predicted climate change.
Keywords: Climate change; adaptation policy; Eastern Africa; agricultural production (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q18 Q54 O55 E23 O13 R11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 33 pages
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-dev, nep-env and nep-mac
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Journal Article: The effect of climate change and adaptation policy on agricultural production in Eastern Africa (2016)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:foi:wpaper:2014_08
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