Are revisions to state-level GDP data in the US well behaved?

James Mitchell and Taylor Shiroff

Economics Letters, 2025, vol. 254, issue C

Abstract: No: Revisions to first estimates of quarterly state-level GDP growth tend to be biased, large, and/or predictable using information known at the time of the first estimate.

Keywords: Data revisions; Real-time data; State GDP; Forecast efficiency (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E01 R11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Working Paper: Are Revisions to State-Level GDP Data in the US Well Behaved? (2025)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:254:y:2025:i:c:s0165176525002447

DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112407

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