A modeling approach to forecast the effect of long-term climate change on lake water quality

Eiji Komatsu, Takehiko Fukushima and Hideo Harasawa

Ecological Modelling, 2007, vol. 209, issue 2, 351-366

Abstract: The long-term effect of global warming on environmental variables, such as water temperature, dissolved oxygen and nutrients as well as aquatic ecosystems was assessed. The developed watershed runoff model and reservoir water quality model with meteorological input calculated by a GCM A2 scenario is applied to Shimajigawa reservoir located in western Japan. To evaluate the sensitivity and long-term effects of climate change on water quality and aquatic ecosystems, we compare the simulated results of the lake model obtained for 1991–2001 with those obtained for 2091–2100.

Keywords: Global warming impact; Regional climate model (RCM); Reservoir water; Quality model; Ecosystem; Phosphors dynamics; Algal growth (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (14)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:209:y:2007:i:2:p:351-366

DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2007.07.021

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