Ecological Modelling

2007 - 2026

Current editor(s): Brian D. Fath

From Elsevier
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2026, volume 518, articles C

Simulating wildfire propagation in Central Europe - Evaluation of input data variation and parameter adjustment for the PhyFire model

Katrin Kuhnen, Maria Isabel Asensio, José Manuel Iglesias, José Manuel Cascón, Mariana Silva Andrade, Mortimer Maximilian Müller, Herbert Formayer and Harald Vacik

Irradiance modulates coral thermal thresholds shaping bleaching dynamics across the Red Sea

Yannis Hatzonikolakis, Eleni Livanou, Konstadia Lika, Yixin Wang, Elamurugu Alias Gokul, Marianthi Pateraki, Dionysios E. Raitsos and Ibrahim Hoteit

Data-Driven Modeling to predict forest fire spread in the Patagonian region in Argentina

Lucas Becerra, Monica Malen Denham, Alejandro B. Kolton and Karina Laneri

A general DDE model for terrestrial arthropods: from theory to validation guidelines under controlled conditions

Luca Rossini, Zeinab Sweidan, Nuray Baser, Marta Corbetta, Tito Caffi, Gianfranco Anfora, Stefania Gualano, Vittorio Rossi, Franco Santoro and Emanuele Garone

Modelling Asparagopsis nitrogen bioremediation efficiency in Australian coastal environments

Tormey Reimer, Katherine A. Cresswell, Kate M. Fraser, Camille A. White and Scott A. Hadley

Economic viability and environmental trade-off of sequential transitions from conventional aquaculture to partial and fully integrated multi-trophic aquaculture in Bangladesh

Joshua Aboah, Mohammed Abdul Baten Bhuyain, Mohammed Shawquat Ali, Mahfuzul A.B.M. Haque, Esther Magondu, Mariska Bottema and Rodrigue Yossa

Multi-agent simulation of Sphenophorus levis infestation and natural biological control with Beauveria bassiana and Steinernema brazilense in sugarcane cultivation

Rayanna Barroso de Oliveira Alves, Diego Bogado Tomasiello, Cláudia Maria de Almeida, David Luciano Rosalen, Luiz Henrique Pereira, Hernande Pereira da Silva and Cesar Leandro Rodrigues

2026, volume 517, articles C

Forecasting bryozoan assemblage dynamics under simulated climate change

Mira Baer, Korinna T. Allhoff, David K.A. Barnes and Franziska Koch

Advantages of experiential legacies are determined by interaction of environment and life history: A matrix-model approach

L. Zoe Almeida and Elizabeth A. Marschall

Robust allocation of fire management resources towards threatened species conservation under uncertainty

Patrick J. Lawton, Gregory A. Backus, Miranda Brooke Rose, Janet Franklin, Santiago José Elías Velazco, Alexandra D. Syphard and Helen M. Regan

Spatial boundaries of urban agriculture and its potential impacts on regulating ecosystem services: The case of Bartın, Türkiye

Cansu Dinçtürk and Sebahat Açıksöz

Climate change and soybean production: A regional evaluation in the Northwestern part of Türkiye

Bilge Arslan, Şerife Tülin Akkaya Aslan and Burak Şen

On the misuse, and possible use, of stranding data in habitat suitability models: a comment on Meirelles et al. (2026)

Nicholas W. Daudt

Irrigation buffers climate influence: Stable parameter sensitivities in APSIM-wheat under warm-temperate monsoon conditions

Hongqin Wang, Lei Li, Jiaxue Li, Jinbiao Xiang and Yong He

Preparing for tomorrow: A protocol for tree species parameterization in dynamic vegetation models

Gina Marano, Maximiliano Costa, Harald Bugmann, Verena C. Griess, Andreas Rudow and Olalla Díaz-Yáñez

An optimization framework for planning forest road restoration under carbon, fragmentation, and operational trade-offs

Alejandro Vega-Escobar, François Girard and Osvaldo Valeria

Mechanistic and spatio-temporal modelling of cassava whitefly (Bemisia tabaci) risk under climate change: Projections for Africa with case evidence from Malawi

Lumbani Benedicto Banda, Frank Thomas Ndjomatchoua, Ritter A. Guimapi, Komi Mensah Agboka, Abdelmutalab G.A. Azrag, Wezi G. Mhango, Trust Kasambala Donga, Chikondi Makwiza, Karl H. Thunes and Elfatih M. Abdel-Rahman

A new model for secondary plant succession based on the herbaceous communities of soil mounds on the Tibetan Plateau

Dexiecuo Ai, Annette Ostling, M.D. Farnon Ellwood and Wenjin Li

Measurement and prediction of water-energy-food-economy-ecology coupling coordination degree in Shandong Province, China

Chenjun Zhang, Man Li, Xiangyang Zhao, Yuze Wang and Keyi Ju

Benchmarking soil organic carbon in Australian rangelands: climate-driven stability and transparent upscaling for national accounting

Chiara Pasut, Brendan Malone, Sabastine Ugbaje, Nick Shepherd, Daniel Zwartz, Daniel Pagendam and Senani Karunaratne

Models reveal the importance of alternative hosts and environmental transmission for emergence of bacterial disease in muskoxen in the Arctic

Juan S. Vargas Soto, Marina Reyne, McCaide Wooten, Sreejith Radhakrishnan, Fabien Mavrot, Susan Kutz, Taya Forde and Eric R. Morgan

Effects of organic carbon and phosphorus on lake food web dynamics: A modelling study

Vlastimil Křivan, Jiří Nedoma and Sed’a, Jaromír

Dispersal as a stabilizing force against adaptation-induced oscillations under climate warming

Viviana Rivera-Estay, Taranjot Kaur and Fernanda S. Valdovinos

Modelling the control of West Nile virus using mosquito reduction methods, equid vaccination, and human behavioural adoption of personal protective equipment

Pride Duve, Felix Gregor Sauer and Renke Lühken

Dispersal and founder effects shape yellow hawkweed invasion in patagonian rangelands: Insights from a spatially explicit spread model

Tamara Leibovich, Fernando Biganzoli and Pablo A. Cipriotti

Modeling and analysis of locust hoppers dynamics under olfactory receptor 35 deficiency

Haruto Maeda, Yang Bai, Naoki Wakamiya and Masaki Ogura

Nonlinear effects of landscape pattern and forest structure on subtropical forest ecosystem services: Evidence from Jiangxi Province, China

Xiaogang Wu, Chen Ge and Yuanxin Liu

Multi-parameter kinetic optimization of Chlorella vulgaris for enhanced CO₂ sequestration and biomass production

Angel Mary Thomas and Vahid Razaviarani

A model-data synergy framework for assessing and enhancing runoff control in sponge cities: Sensitivity-driven calibration and multi-tiered monitoring integration

Guorui Wu, Jia Guo, Nan Ni, Suhui Wang, Songwen Yang, Rui Wang and Liang Feng

From carbon sink to carbon source: evaluating Portuguese forest carbon dynamics under improved accounting methodologies

L. Tesch, B.S. Bandarra, H. Craveiro and H. Gervásio

Chaotic dynamics and its linear feedback control in a predator–prey interaction model with predation fear and wind flow effect using Physics Informed Neural Networks

Purnendu Sardar, Sudipta Sarkar, Biswadip Pal, Santosh Biswas, Chandrani Mukherjee and Krishna Pada Das

Extending GUTS to account for oral exposure in bees: Preconditions, model options, and evaluation of published approaches

Tjalling Jager

A review of dynamics in spatial savanna models

Xenia Sterl, Els Weinans, Anna van der Kaaden, Arjen Doelman and Max Rietkerk

A parsimonious Adaptive Dynamics model of insect partial bivoltinism and phenology

Pietro Landi, Tosin Samuel Osikoya, Philipp Lehmann, Karl Gotthard and Cang Hui

Can large language models implement agent-based models? An ODD-based replication study

Nuno Fachada, Daniel Fernandes, Carlos M. Fernandes and João P. Matos-Carvalho

2026, volume 516, articles C

A general hidden Markov model framework for capturing changes in species behaviour under disturbance in acoustic time series

Litty Mathew, Caroline Brophy, Ian Donohue, Samuel RP-J Ross and Silvia D'Angelo

Improvement and comparison of multi model methods for estimating carbon sequestration in global terrestrial ecosystems

Ailin Liang and Zifang Zhao

Improving transferability of species distribution models in a Poisson point-process framework

Yusuke Saigusa, Osamu Komori and Shinto Eguchi

Data-driven agent-based modeling for animal space use prediction – an applied example for grizzly bears in the southern interior of British Columbia

Yiduo Zhang, Lael Parrott and Clayton Apps

Methods for estimating location from spatial patterns in species composition: a fishing location case study

James A. Smith

Identifying the impact of primary production pathways and mixotrophs on energy flow in a tributary backwater of the world’s largest reservoir

Patrick J. Pickett, Lei Zhang, Georgia K. Dwyer, Ashley Macqueen and Rebecca E. Lester

Ecotrophic modelling of cesium-137 dispersion and bioaccumulation in the Gulf of Lion following hypothetical nuclear accident scenarios

Thomas Seyer, Vincent Faure, Sabine Charmasson, Hugo Durand and Daniela Bănaru

tools4MCDA: An R-Package to estimate spatial fishing effort, weight and value of landings using multi-criteria decision analysis

Irida Maina, Dimitris Politikos and Stefanos Kavadas

From female choice to social structure: Modeling harem formation in camelids

Tomás Ignacio González, Guillermo Abramson and María Fabiana Laguna

A mathematical model for the drift and damage of drifting fish eggs incorporating multi-source damage factors

Yuchong Wei, Zhixing Huang, Shanliang Zhang, Yueping Xu and Chunlei Li

Modeling population dynamics of Eotetranychus kankitus in peach orchards: The role of varietal effects

Laura Cruzado-Lima, José Eligio Moisés Gutiérrez-Arias, Beatriz Bonilla-Capilla, Isabel Nativitas-Lima, Moisés Camacho-Tapia and Alma Lilia Cruzado-Lima

125 years of change: linking long term observations and network topology to reveal shifts in a coastal food web

Joel Habedank, Sabine Horn, Harald Ahnelt, Christian Buschbaum, Annika Cornelius, Peter Lemke, Jasmin Renz, Andreas M. Waser and Karen H. Wiltshire

Physiologically-based eco-epidemiological model of Xylella fastidiosa infection in olive groves

Igor Daniel Weber, Anna Simonetto, Enrico Bertoldi, Paola Gervasio, Maria Saponari, Crescenza Dongiovanni, Juan Antonio Navas-Cortés and Gianni Gilioli

QUALILOGICAL 2.0: a revolutionarily simple river water quality model ideal for planning restoration at river basin scale

Andrea Gianni Cristoforo Nardini, Giulio Conte, Leonardo Magherini and Fabio Masi

Thermal conditions control on growing season carbon budget of alpine ecosystems in the Qinghai Lake Basin, Northeast Qinghai-Tibet Plateau

Meng-Ya Zhang, Yu-Jun Ma and Peng Chen

A geospatial habitat suitability index model for Ulva sp. in Jamaica Bay, NY: Model validation using Ulva biomass data

Kristine John

Dual-pathway modeling framework for CO₂ sequestration in algal biofilms via biomass assimilation and exopolysaccharide secretion

Deepak Sharma, Surabhi Mishra and Aarti,

Modeling potential fish species richness within the Upper Paraguay River Basin in Brazil

Henrique Ledo Lopes Pinho, Marcelo Leandro Bueno, Karoline Aparecida de Sena, Julio César Jut Solórzano and Yzel Rondon Súarez

Geomagnetic night vision: A data-driven approach to study geomagnetic navigation in a migratory bird

Beate Zein, Jed A. Long, Kamran Safi, Vanessa Brum-Bastos, Martin Wikelski, Philipp Schwemmer, Stefan Garthe, Frédéric Jiguet, Pierrick Bocher, AliciaGrace Marley and Urška Demšar

Assessment of ecosystem contributions to provisioning services in South Korea using emergy methodology

Daeseok Kang and Seungjun Lee

Management approaches in decision support systems to mitigate the risk of natural disturbances in European temperate and boreal forests –a review

Adriano Mazziotta, Kyle Eyvindson, Katharina Albrich, Juha Honkaniemi, Joyce Machado Nunes Romeiro, Susanne Suvanto and Annika Kangas

A vector-based dynamic coupling approach for optimized wind–fire spread modeling

Jianwei Li, Chaoping Liang and Pengkun Zhuang

Eco-evo conflicts in a stage-structured mutualism: modeling the consequences of ontogenetic variation in host quality

A.Raine Detmer, Craig W. Osenberg, Adrian C. Stier and Holly V. Moeller

Beyond the Field: R and predictive ecology

Hooman Babanezhad and Alireza Naqinezhad

Integrated system dynamics and life cycle assessment modeling for carbon mitigation pathways in China's industrial mariculture

Fengfan Han, Yang Bai, Zilun Yi, Fei Jia, Haochen Hou and Ying Liu

Niche-based mechanisms mediating the impacts and mitigation of biological invasion

Sebastian Ruile and Mikael Pontarp

Operationalizing ecosystem service flows in land-use planning: Mitigating ecological risks through dynamic compensation

Yan Zhang, Lina Tang and Alimujiang Kasimu

What a novel temporal multivariate attention network (TMANet) model can explain about vegetation phenology? A corn crop case

Masooma Suleman and Peter A. Khaiter

When does management using artificial intelligence lead to unintended consequences? A case study using ‘smart’ traps

William Godsoe, James G. Ross and Claire M. Postlethwaite

The first mathematical model for elk–wolf interaction in Yellowstone National Park using the E-SINDy algorithm

Nitu Kumari, Anurag Singh and Arun Kumar

Modeling the spatial dynamics of phage-driven perturbations in a bacterial cross-feeding system

Parsa Pakzad and Donald DeAngelis

Chance and necessity food web models inform trophic interactions of baleen whales in Southern New England

Dylan Sinnickson, Janet A. Nye, Elliot Sivel and Lesley Thorne

From calibration to identifiability analysis: Using a multi-reserve DEB model to understand holopelagic Sargassum spp. growth

María-José Lagunes, Gonçalo M. Marques, Evelyn R. Salas-Acosta, Roman M. Vásquez-Elizondo, Thierry Thibaut, Daniel Robledo, Solène Connan, Valérie Stiger-Pouvreau, Léo Berline, Christophe Lett and Laure Pecquerie

Wildlife road crossings: a mechanistic trait- and landscape-based model

Bibiana Terra Dasoler, Fernanda Z. Teixeira, Andreas Kindel, Fernando Ascensão and Vinicius Bastazini

The echoes of ecological collapse: how noise pollution disturbs trophic dynamics and food web stability

Liyun Hou, Nuo Xu, Jiawen Chen, Qihua Huang, Yongjiu Cai and Lai Zhang