Principle of the worst scenario in the modelling past and future of biosphere dynamics

Sergey I. Bartsev, Andrey G. Degermendzhi and Dmitry V. Erokhin

Ecological Modelling, 2008, vol. 216, issue 2, 160-171

Abstract: The “biosphere–climate” system is subjected to different influences (influx of anthropogenic CO2 and pollutants, deforestation, harmful land management, biological species depopulation, etc.). Therefore, the vital question arises: “Can these influences lead to irreversible negative changes in the climate–biosphere system or a global ecological catastrophe?” The possibility of irreversible changes may be not very high, but one cannot ignore it. So the main aim of our investigation is to evaluate possible consequences of human impact on the biosphere focusing on irreversible changes of it.

Keywords: The worst scenario principle; Minimal model of biosphere; Irreversible biosphere changes (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:216:y:2008:i:2:p:160-171

DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2008.03.002

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