Exploring the future of European crop production in a liberalised market, with specific consideration of climate change and the regional competitiveness

C.M.L. Hermans, I.R. Geijzendorffer, F. Ewert, M.J. Metzger, P.H. Vereijken, G.B. Woltjer and A. Verhagen

Ecological Modelling, 2010, vol. 221, issue 18, 2177-2187

Abstract: Long-term future development of European agriculture within the global market is highly uncertain, but can potentially have large impacts on the future of agricultural businesses, rural communities and amenities such as traditional landscapes and biodiversity. Despite great uncertainties it is of interest to explore the extent of these potential changes. This paper provides an explorative scenario of the European crop production in a liberalised world without European Union (EU) market interventions. The results do not form a prediction or a business as usual scenario, but rather a plausible and salient thought-experiment of a possible future based on the consistent integration of current conceptual and quantitative models.

Keywords: Impact assessment; Crop productivity; Competitiveness; Climate change; Land use change (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (19)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:221:y:2010:i:18:p:2177-2187

DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2010.03.021

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