Development of the gap model ZELIG-CFS to predict the dynamics of North American mixed forest types with complex structures
Guy R. Larocque,
Louis Archambault and
Claude Delisle
Ecological Modelling, 2011, vol. 222, issue 14, 2570-2583
Abstract:
When the development of gap models began about three decades ago, they became a new category of forest productivity models. Compared with traditional growth and yield models, which aim at deriving empirical relationships that best fit data, gap models use semi-theoretical relationships to simulate biotic and abiotic processes in forest stands, including the effects of photosynthetic active radiation interception, site fertility, temperature and soil moisture on tree growth and seedling establishment. While growth and yield models are appropriate to predict short-term stemwood production, gap models may be used to predict the natural course of species replacement for several generations. Because of the poor availability of historical data and knowledge on species-specific allometric relationships, species replacement and death rate, it has seldom been possible to develop and evaluate the most representative algorithms to predict growth and mortality with a high degree of accuracy. For this reason, the developers of gap models focused more on developing simulation tools to improve the understanding of forest succession than predicting growth and yield accurately.
Keywords: Forest dynamics; Succession; Historical data; Gap models; Survival rate; Individual-based models (IBM's) (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:222:y:2011:i:14:p:2570-2583
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2010.08.035
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