 Metapopulation modelling and area-wide pest management strategies evaluation. An application to the Pine processionary mothGianni Gilioli, Antonella Bodini and Johann Baumgärtner Ecological Modelling, 2013, vol. 260, issue C, 1-10 Abstract: Forecasting pest population abundance is a time and resource consuming task, and in particular for area-wide pest management is complicated by demographic and environmental stochasticity. These factors make difficult the development of quantitative tools to design and evaluate different management strategies performances by taking into account various form of variability and uncertainty. Pest management could benefit from methods supporting decision making based on models ease of development under scarce data and high uncertainty. Host plants for many agricultural and forest pests are often patchily distributed, therefore population dynamics can be suitably described in terms of metapopulations. Despite the fact that metapopulation models were originally proposed for pests, they remain a widely used tool in conservation biology but receive little attention in large scale pest management. Keywords: Decision making; Kullback–Leibler divergence; Management strategies ranking; Spatial autocorrelation; Spatially explicit metapopulation model; Traumatocampa pityocampa (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:260:y:2013:i:c:p:1-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2013.03.020 Access Statistics for this article Ecological Modelling is currently edited by Brian D. Fath More articles in Ecological Modelling from Elsevier |
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