Using a bioinspired model to determine the extinction risk of Calotriton asper populations as a result of an increase in extreme rainfall in a scenario of climatic change

M. Àngels Colomer, Albert Montori, Eder García and Cristian Fondevilla

Ecological Modelling, 2014, vol. 281, issue C, 1-14

Abstract: Climate-induced changes in hydrology are potentially one of the greatest threats to most aquatic-breeding amphibians. Collectively, studies indicate that the frequency of heavy precipitation events (or the proportion of severe rainfall from heavy falls) is expected to increase in most areas during the 21st century. Given these projections, it is pertinent to establish whether Calotriton asper populations have the capacity to withstand an increase in the frequency of extreme rainfall. Building a reliable model is a key step towards understanding the future dynamics of newt populations in a potential scenario of climatic change.

Keywords: Calotriton asper; Dynamic population; Climate change; Rainfall; PDP models (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:281:y:2014:i:c:p:1-14

DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2014.02.018

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