Dynamical scenarios from a two-patch predator–prey system with human control – Implications for the conservation of the wolf in the Alta Murgia National Park

Deborah Lacitignola, Fasma Diele and Carmela Marangi

Ecological Modelling, 2015, vol. 316, issue C, 28-40

Abstract: We evaluate a mathematical model of the predator–prey population dynamics in a fragmented habitat where both migration processes between habitat patches and prey control policies are taken into account. The considered system is examined by applying the aggregation method and different dynamical scenarios are generated. The resulting implications are then discussed, their primary aim being the conservation of the wolf population in the Alta Murgia National Park, a protected area situated in the Apulian Foreland and also part of the Natura 2000 network. The Italian wolf is an endangered species and the challenge for the regional authorities is how to formulate conservation policies which enable the maintenance of the said wolf population while at the same time curbing that of the local wild boars and its negative impact on agriculture. We show that our model provides constructive suggestions in how to combine wild boar abatement programs awhile maintaining suitable ecological corridors which ensure wolf migration, thus preserving wolves from extinction.

Keywords: Mathematical modeling; Conservation ecology; Bifurcation analysis; Dynamical scenarios; Numerical simulations (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:316:y:2015:i:c:p:28-40

DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2015.07.027

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