Climate change impact assessment—A simulation experiment with Norway spruce for a forest district in Central Europe

Jan C. Thiele, Robert S. Nuske, Bernd Ahrends, Oleg Panferov, Matthias Albert, Kai Staupendahl, Udo Junghans, Martin Jansen and Joachim Saborowski

Ecological Modelling, 2017, vol. 346, issue C, 30-47

Abstract: Projected climate change implies that site conditions can no longer be expected to remain constant over a tree’s lifetime. The fast and complex changes in site characteristics and growth patterns diminish the value of traditional knowledge and profoundly alter the conditions of forest management. One way to tackle the inherent uncertainties are simulation studies addressing these new dynamics and mechanisms. The aim of this study is to present such a simulation model system comprising various established and validated process-based and statistical models assessing the complex and dynamic response of a forest stand to climate change.

Keywords: Climate change; Simulation model; Impact assessment; Forest risks; Forest management; Decision support system (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:346:y:2017:i:c:p:30-47

DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2016.11.013

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