Spatiotemporal differentiation of coupling coordination degree between economic development and water environment and its influencing factors using GWR in China's province

Qian Zhang, Juqin Shen and Fuhua Sun

Ecological Modelling, 2021, vol. 462, issue C

Abstract: Rapid economic growth and social development in China have led to serious water pollution problems and water resource shortages, limiting the sustainable and coordinated development that could support both the socio-economy and water environment (WE). However, the spatial heterogeneity and evolutionary characteristics of the coordination between economic development (ED) and WE have not been adequately explored in China's provinces. In this study, we use the spatial global (local) autocorrelation and geographically weighted regression (GWR) model to explore the relationship between ED and WE subsystems and its influencing factors in China's provinces from 2010 to 2019. The main results are as follows, (a) The coupling coordination degree (CCD) between the two subsystems in southern China is higher than that of northern China. Transitional development areas have gradually spread to the middle of China, and there has been an increase trend in the number of moderate and high coordination provinces. (b) The ED-led (WE lags behind ED) type is mainly concentrated in central and eastern China, and the WE-led (ED lags behind WE) type is concentrated in the northeastern and western regions. The areas with synchronous development are relatively small in number and are mainly concentrated in east coastal China. (c) There is an obvious spatial dependence of the coordination between ED and WE from the perspective of global correlation, but this dependence is weakened with increasing geographical distance. The local mode of agglomeration shows a trend towards the evolution of high-high clustering in the eastern region. (d) The GWR analysis indicates that the factors of population density, energy consumption, fixed investment, and research and development (R&D) expenditure significantly influence the coordination between ED and WE. Fixed investment and R&D expenditure are mainly positive driving factors, while the impacts of population density and energy consumption vary among different regions as time evolves. Changes in driving force in a region can extend spatial effects to adjacent regions through the spatial transmission mechanism. Finally, we close the paper by recommending the different policy implications according to the GWR results.

Keywords: Economic development; Water environment: Coupling coordination degree; Spatial autocorrelation; Driving factors (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:462:y:2021:i:c:s0304380021003409

DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2021.109794

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