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Changing risk of arboviral emergence in Catalonia due to higher probability of autochthonous outbreaks

L. López, C. Dommar, A. San José, L. Meyers, S. Fox, L. Castro and X. Rodó

Ecological Modelling, 2023, vol. 477, issue C

Abstract: The lack of previous exposure to arbovirus and the ongoing geographical expansion of viable vector populations has fostered the implementation of preventive strategies in those areas more prone to disease importation. Catalonia receives a wealth of travelers from Southeast Asia, South America and the Caribbean and around 700 cases of imported arbovirosis (2012–2016, totaling dengue, chikungunya, and Zika), have been notified in primary care health centers, traveler advice public health services and main hospitals. With the large asymptomatic proportion of infections well-known for these diseases, the threat for autochthonous outbreaks increases in those areas that, for particular environmental and socio-demographic conditions, might be more susceptible. Operational early-warning systems are lacking in most places where these outbreaks pose a serious health treat.

Keywords: Arbovirus; Surveillance; Arboviral infections; Climate change; Modeling; Risk map; Mosquito (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:477:y:2023:i:c:s0304380022003568

DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2022.110258

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