Spruce bark beetle phenological modelling and drought risk within framework of TANABBO II model

Nana Pirtskhalava-Karpova, Aleksandr Karpov, Aleksei Trubin, Milan Koreň, Miroslav Blaženec, Jaroslav Holuša and Rastislav Jakuš

Ecological Modelling, 2024, vol. 496, issue C

Abstract: Global warming plays a major role in the disruption of forest ecosystems by bark beetle outbreaks. Decreasing precipitation and more frequent droughts create the conditions for water stress in trees. The Eurasian spruce bark beetle (Ips typographus L.) is more dangerous for Norway spruce (Picea abies (L.) Karst.) forests in Central Europe under these conditions, because even healthy trees under water stress have a lower probability of survival during massive spruce bark beetle outbreaks. This critical issue highlights the importance of targeted research and intervention strategies in affected regions; hence, this study has a focus on the Horní Planá region in Central Europe, which is managed by the Military Forests and Farms of the Czech Republic (VLS).

Keywords: Spruce bark beetle; Phenological modelling; Drought risk assessment; Drought indices; Bark beetle outbreak (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:496:y:2024:i:c:s0304380024002023

DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2024.110814

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