Habitat availability decline for waterbirds in a sensitive wetland: Climate change impact on the Ebro Delta

Andrés De la Cruz and Catherine Numa

Ecological Modelling, 2024, vol. 498, issue C

Abstract: The highly biodiverse, productive and vulnerable areas, such as coastal wetlands, are increasingly threatened by human-induced disturbances, resulting in habitat loss. This habitat loss is a critical driver of biodiversity decline and significantly impacts species distribution and behavior, increasing the risk of extinctions. To address these concerns, we developed a Species Distribution Model (SDM) using a decade-long dataset of waterbird functional group occurrences in the Ebro Delta, with a particular focus on the Ardeidae family, which represents the most prominent species in the wetland. This model aims to predict potential habitat loss under various climate change scenarios, specifically those outlined in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5, across three distinct time periods.

Keywords: Climate change scenarios; Coastal wetland; Habitat loss; Sea-level rise; Species distribution model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:498:y:2024:i:c:s0304380024002849

DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2024.110896

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