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A semiparametric stochastic volatility model

Jun Yu

Journal of Econometrics, 2012, vol. 167, issue 2, 473-482

Abstract: In this paper the correlation structure in the classical leverage stochastic volatility (SV) model is generalized based on a linear spline. In the new model the correlation between the return and volatility innovations is time varying and depends nonparametrically on the type of news arrived to the market. Theoretical properties of the proposed model are examined. The model estimation and comparison are conducted by Bayesian methods. The performance of the estimates are examined in simulations. The new model is fitted to daily and weekly US data and compared with the classical SV and GARCH models in terms of their in-sample and out-of-sample performances. Empirical results suggest evidence in favor of the proposed model. In particular, the new model finds strong evidence of time varying leverage effect in individual stocks when the classical model fails to identify the leverage effect.

Keywords: Leverage effect; Simulated maximum likelihood; Laplace approximation; Spline (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C11 C15 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (40)

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Working Paper: A Semiparametric Stochastic Volatility Model (2008) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:econom:v:167:y:2012:i:2:p:473-482

DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2011.09.029

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Journal of Econometrics is currently edited by T. Amemiya, A. R. Gallant, J. F. Geweke, C. Hsiao and P. M. Robinson

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