The precision of subjective data and the explanatory power of economic models
Benjamin Enke and
Hans-Martin von Gaudecker ()
Journal of Econometrics, 2017, vol. 200, issue 2, 378-389
Subjective expectations are important primitives in many economic models, yet their direct measurement often yields imprecise and inconsistent data. This has previously been treated as a pure measurement error problem. In contrast, this paper argues that the individual-level precision of such data may reflect the structure of the underlying decision process. We estimate a semiparametric double index model on data specifically collected for this purpose and show that stock market participation decisions exhibit little variation in economic model primitives when individuals provide error-ridden belief statements. In contrast, beliefs and risk preferences predict strong variation in stock market participation for individuals who report precise expectations measures.
Keywords: Measurement error; Subjective expectations; Stock market participation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C35 C51 G11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (10) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:econom:v:200:y:2017:i:2:p:378-389
Access Statistics for this article
Journal of Econometrics is currently edited by T. Amemiya, A. R. Gallant, J. F. Geweke, C. Hsiao and P. M. Robinson
More articles in Journal of Econometrics from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Dana Niculescu ().