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When bias contributes to variance: True limit theory in functional coefficient cointegrating regression

Peter Phillips and Ying Wang

Journal of Econometrics, 2023, vol. 232, issue 2, 469-489

Abstract: Limit distribution theory in the econometric literature for functional coefficient cointegrating regression is incorrect in important ways, influencing rates of convergence, distributional properties, and practical work. The correct limit theory reveals that components from both bias and variance terms contribute to variability in the asymptotics. The errors in the literature arise because random variability in the bias term has been neglected in earlier research. In stationary regression this random variability is of smaller order and can be ignored in asymptotic analysis but not without consequences for finite sample performance. Implications of the findings for rate efficient estimation are discussed. Simulations in the Online Supplement provide further evidence supporting the new limit theory in nonstationary functional coefficient regressions.

Keywords: Bandwidth selection; Bias variability; Functional coefficient cointegration; Kernel regression; Nonstationarity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C14 C22 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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Working Paper: When Bias Contributes to Variance: True Limit Theory in Functional Coefficient Cointegrating Regression (2020) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:econom:v:232:y:2023:i:2:p:469-489

DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2021.09.007

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