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Partially identifying competing risks models: An application to the war on cancer

Dongwoo Kim

Journal of Econometrics, 2023, vol. 234, issue 2, 536-564

Abstract: Competing risks models for discretely measured durations are partially identifying due to the unknown dependence structure between risks and the discrete nature of the outcome. This article develops a highly tractable bounds approach for underlying distributions of latent durations by exploiting the discreteness. Bounds are obtained from a system of nonlinear (in)equalities. I devise a sequential solution method that requires much less computational burden than existing methods. Asymptotic properties of bound estimators and a simple bootstrap procedure are provided. I apply the proposed approach to re-evaluate trends in cancer mortality extending the data studied in Honoré and Lleras-Muney (2006). Estimated patterns differ from the original findings.

Date: 2023
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:econom:v:234:y:2023:i:2:p:536-564

DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2021.07.007

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Journal of Econometrics is currently edited by T. Amemiya, A. R. Gallant, J. F. Geweke, C. Hsiao and P. M. Robinson

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