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Identification in discrete choice models with imperfect information

Cristina Gualdani and Shruti Sinha

Journal of Econometrics, 2024, vol. 244, issue 1

Abstract: We study identification of preferences in static single-agent discrete choice models where decision makers may be imperfectly informed about the state of the world. Leveraging the notion of one-player Bayes Correlated Equilibrium by Bergemann and Morris (2016), we provide a tractable characterisation of the sharp identified set. We develop a procedure to practically construct the sharp identified set following a sieve approach, and provide sharp bounds on counterfactual outcomes of interest. Using our methodology and data on the 2017 UK general election, we estimate a spatial voting model under weak assumptions on agents’ information about the returns to voting. Counterfactual exercises quantify the consequences of imperfect information on the well-being of voters and parties.

Keywords: Discrete choice model; Bayesian persuasion; Bayes Correlated Equilibrium; Incomplete information; Partial identification; Moment inequalities; Spatial model of voting (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C01 C25 D72 D80 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:econom:v:244:y:2024:i:1:s0304407624001994

DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2024.105854

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