Volatility costs of R&D
Uluc Aysun
European Economic Review, 2020, vol. 122, issue C
Abstract:
This paper incorporates endogenous growth into a New Keynesian DSGE framework to investigate the effects of R&D on economic volatility. It identifies a mechanism through which the cyclicality of R&D and its effects on volatility depend on the cyclicality of production. R&D activity becomes more procyclical, thereby amplifying economic volatility when labor is procyclical. The conclusions are reversed if labor is countercyclical. Alternative calibrations show that this link between R&D and production labor is weaker when R&D intensity, the spillover rate of innovation, and R&D adjustment costs are higher. In these cases, R&D tracks economic activity more closely which in turn magnifies economic volatility. The higher volatility has considerable welfare consequences and it implies that the steeper path of growth resulting from higher R&D activity comes at a price.
Keywords: Research and development; Business cycles; Endogenous growth; DSGE (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E30 E32 O30 O33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:eecrev:v:122:y:2020:i:c:s0014292119302260
DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2019.103365
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