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Robots, reshoring, and the lot of low-skilled workers

Astrid Krenz, Klaus Prettner and Holger Strulik

European Economic Review, 2021, vol. 136, issue C

Abstract: We propose a theoretical framework to analyze the offshoring and reshoring decisions of firms in the age of automation. Our theory suggests that increasing productivity in automation leads to a relocation of previously offshored production back to the home economy but without improving low-skilled wages and without creating jobs for low-skilled workers. Since it leads also to increasing wages for high-skilled workers, automation-induced reshoring is associated with an increasing skill premium and increasing inequality. We develop a measure for reshoring activity at the macro-level and, using data from the world input output table, provide evidence for automation-driven reshoring. On average, within manufacturing sectors, an increase by one robot per 1000 workers is associated with a 3.5% increase of reshoring activity. We corroborate the results using an IV regression framework. We also provide the first cross-country evidence that reshoring is positively associated with wages and employment for workers in professional occupations but not for workers in elementary-routine occupations and that tariffs increase the reshoring intensity.

Keywords: Automation; Reshoring; Employment; Wages; Inequality; Tariffs (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F13 F62 J31 O33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (43)

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Related works:
Working Paper: Robots, Reshoring, and the Lot of Low-Skilled Workers (2020) Downloads
Working Paper: Robots, Reshoring, and the Lot of Low-Skilled Workers (2019) Downloads
Working Paper: Robots, reshoring, and the lot of low-skilled workers (2018) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:eecrev:v:136:y:2021:i:c:s0014292121000970

DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103744

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