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Lives versus livelihoods in the middle ages: The impact of the plague on trade over 400 years

Jakob Madsen, Peter Robertson and Longfeng Ye

European Economic Review, 2024, vol. 162, issue C

Abstract: To what extent did outbreaks of bubonic plague disrupt trade? We estimate the impact of epidemics on trade between regional wheat markets over four centuries — from the Black Death in the 14th century, until the medieval form of the plague became extinct in the 17th century. Using a gravity model, we find that outbreaks had a statistically significant, but relatively modest, impact on local variations in wheat prices. The results provide quantitative evidence on the extent to which epidemics disrupted markets and trade in pre-industrial Europe.

Keywords: Epidemics; Trade; Trade costs; Black death (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O1 O4 O41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:eecrev:v:162:y:2024:i:c:s0014292123002829

DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2023.104654

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European Economic Review is currently edited by T.S. Eicher, A. Imrohoroglu, E. Leeper, J. Oechssler and M. Pesendorfer

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