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Public pensions reforms: Financial and political sustainability

Javier Díaz-Giménez and Julián Díaz-Saavedra

European Economic Review, 2025, vol. 175, issue C

Abstract: One main reason for the unsustainability of future pensions in many European countries is a failure to adapt to very long-term demographic trends. Also, a reform to address financing issues can be an occasion to improve pension design. Sometimes, however, such pension reforms are likely to be overturned when they lead to significant short-term losses in retirement income. We use an overlapping generations economy with incomplete insurance markets to show that, with an appropriate design, sustainable pay-as-you go systems can greatly outperform current outdated pension systems. We show this in a calibrated model of the Spanish economy, since Spain is a fairly extreme case of the aforementioned failures to introduce a dynamic pension design to deal with an ageing population. Moreover, by comparing the effect of its ageing transition under these different pension systems, we also show how a fast transition, from the current to a reformed PAYG system can be Pareto-improving, while minimizing the risk of political reversal.

Keywords: Overlapping generations; Social security reform; Redistribution (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C63 H23 H55 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:eecrev:v:175:y:2025:i:c:s0014292125000388

DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2025.104988

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European Economic Review is currently edited by T.S. Eicher, A. Imrohoroglu, E. Leeper, J. Oechssler and M. Pesendorfer

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