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Capital-skill complementarity in manufacturing: Lessons from the US shale boom

Victor Hernandez Martinez

European Economic Review, 2025, vol. 178, issue C

Abstract: This paper tests the existence of capital-skill complementarity in the manufacturing sector using quasi-experimental increases in the relative price of low-skill labor induced by the US shale boom. I find that in response to the shale boom, local manufacturing firms decreased their relative usage of low-skill labor while increasing their capital expenditures. These endogenous changes in the input mix allowed manufacturers to maintain the value added despite the increase in the price of low-skill labor, avoiding the potential short-term crowding-out effects of the natural resource boom. These findings perfectly match the predictions from a nested CES manufacturing production function where capital and low-skill labor are nested together, and their elasticity of substitution exceeds that between capital and high-skill labor. Alternative production functions yield predictions that are inconsistent with the data or hard to reconcile with the previous literature.

Keywords: Capital-skill complementarity; Manufacturing; Fracking; Labor markets (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E22 E24 J24 O13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:eecrev:v:178:y:2025:i:c:s0014292125001229

DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2025.105072

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