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Monetary and fiscal policy interactions in the post-war U.S

Nora Traum and Shu-Chun Yang

European Economic Review, 2011, vol. 55, issue 1, 140-164

Abstract: A New Keynesian model allowing for an active monetary and passive fiscal policy (AMPF) regime and a passive monetary and active fiscal policy (PMAF) regime is estimated to fit various U.S. samples from 1955 to 2007. The results show that data in the pre-Volcker periods strongly prefer an AMPF regime, even with a prior centered in the PMAF region. The estimation, however, is not very informative about whether the Federal Reserve's reaction to inflation is greater than one in the pre-Volcker period, because much lower values can still preserve determinacy under passive fiscal policy. In addition, whether a PMAF regime can generate consumption growth following a government spending increase depends on the degree of price stickiness. An income tax cut can yield an unusual negative labor response if monetary policy aggressively stabilizes output growth.

Keywords: Fiscal; and; monetary; policy; interactions; New; Keynesian; models; Bayesian; estimation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (52)

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