Elementary modelling and behavioural analysis for emergency evacuations using social media

John Fry and Jane M. Binner

European Journal of Operational Research, 2016, vol. 249, issue 3, 1014-1023

Abstract: Social media usage in evacuations and emergency management represents a rapidly expanding field of study. Our paper thus provides quantitative insight into a serious practical problem. Within this context a behavioural approach is key. We discuss when facilitators should consider model-based interventions amid further implications for disaster communication and emergency management. We model the behaviour of individual people by deriving optimal contrarian strategies. We formulate a Bayesian algorithm which enables the optimal evacuation to be conducted sequentially under worsening conditions.

Keywords: Behavioural OR; OR in disaster relief; Decision analysis; Humanitarian logistics; Modelling (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ejores:v:249:y:2016:i:3:p:1014-1023

DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2015.05.049

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