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Sequential design strategies for mean response surface metamodeling via stochastic kriging with adaptive exploration and exploitation

Xi Chen and Qiang Zhou

European Journal of Operational Research, 2017, vol. 262, issue 2, 575-585

Abstract: Stochastic kriging (SK) methodology has been known as an effective metamodeling tool for approximating a mean response surface implied by a stochastic simulation. In this paper we provide some theoretical results on the predictive performance of SK, in light of which novel integrated mean squared error-based sequential design strategies are proposed to apply SK for mean response surface metamodeling with a fixed simulation budget. Through numerical examples of different features, we show that SK with the proposed strategies applied holds great promise for achieving high predictive accuracy by striking a good balance between exploration and exploitation.

Keywords: Simulation; Sequential experimental design; Simulation metamodeling; Simulation analysis and methodology (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ejores:v:262:y:2017:i:2:p:575-585

DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2017.03.042

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European Journal of Operational Research is currently edited by Roman Slowinski, Jesus Artalejo, Jean-Charles. Billaut, Robert Dyson and Lorenzo Peccati

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