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Estimation and asymptotics for buffered probability of exceedance

Alexander Mafusalov, Alexander Shapiro and Stan Uryasev

European Journal of Operational Research, 2018, vol. 270, issue 3, 826-836

Abstract: This paper studies statistical properties of empirical (sample) estimates of the buffered probability of exceedance (bPOE). The estimation procedure is based on one dimensional minimization representation of the bPOE. Convergence rates and asymptotic properties of the suggested estimation procedures are investigated. Theoretical predictions are validated with numerical experiments, including a special case of exponential distribution, and a study proposing bPOE modification of minimum volume ellipsoid problem.

Keywords: Stochastic programming; Buffered probability of exceedance; Sample average approximation; Rare events; Minimum volume ellipsoid (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ejores:v:270:y:2018:i:3:p:826-836

DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2018.01.021

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European Journal of Operational Research is currently edited by Roman Slowinski, Jesus Artalejo, Jean-Charles. Billaut, Robert Dyson and Lorenzo Peccati

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