Economics at your fingertips  

Copula theory and probabilistic sensitivity analysis: Is there a connection?

Elmar Plischke and Emanuele Borgonovo

European Journal of Operational Research, 2019, vol. 277, issue 3, 1046-1059

Abstract: Copula theory is concerned with defining dependence structures given appropriate marginal distributions. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis is concerned with quantifying the strength of the dependence among the output of a simulator and the uncertain simulator inputs. In this work, we investigate the connection between these two families of methods. We define four classes of sensitivity measures based on the distance between the empirical copula and the product copula. We discuss the new classes in the light of transformation invariance and Rényi’s postulate D of dependence measures. The connection is constructive: the new classes extend the current definition of sensitivity measures and one gains an of understanding which sensitivity measures in use are, in fact, copula-based. Also a set of new visualization tools can be obtained. These tools ease the communication of results to the modeler and provide insights not only on statistical dependence but also on the partial behavior of the output as a function of the inputs. Application to the benchmark simulator for sensitivity analysis concludes the work.

Keywords: Robustness and sensitivity analysis; Simulation; Copula theory (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link:

Access Statistics for this article

European Journal of Operational Research is currently edited by Roman Slowinski, Jesus Artalejo, Jean-Charles. Billaut, Robert Dyson and Lorenzo Peccati

More articles in European Journal of Operational Research from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Dana Niculescu ().

Page updated 2019-08-17
Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:277:y:2019:i:3:p:1046-1059