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Filtering for risk assessment of interbank network

Majeed Simaan, Aparna Gupta and Koushik Kar

European Journal of Operational Research, 2020, vol. 280, issue 1, 279-294

Abstract: Our paper contributes to the recent macroprudential policy addressing the resilience of financial systems in terms of their interconnectedness. We argue that beneath an interbank market, there is a fundamental latent network that affects the liquidity distributions among banks. To investigate the interbank market, we propose a framework that identifies such latent network using a statistical learning procedure. The framework reverse engineers overnight signals observed as banks conduct their reserve management on a daily basis. Our simulation-based results show that possible disruptions in funds supply are highly affected by the interconnectedness of the latent network. Hence, the proposed framework serves as an early warning system for regulators to monitor the overnight market and to detect ex-ante possible disruptions based on the inherent network characteristics.

Keywords: OR in banking; Financial networks; Liquidity risk management; Systemic risk; Hidden Markov models (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ejores:v:280:y:2020:i:1:p:279-294

DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2019.06.049

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European Journal of Operational Research is currently edited by Roman Slowinski, Jesus Artalejo, Jean-Charles. Billaut, Robert Dyson and Lorenzo Peccati

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