Optimal insurance contract specification in the upstream sector of the oil and gas industry

Ana Patrícia Torraca and Bruno Fanzeres

European Journal of Operational Research, 2021, vol. 295, issue 2, 718-732

Abstract: The upstream sector of the Oil and Gas (O&G) industry is recognized by its capital-intensive projects and complex and hazardous associated recovery and production processes, thus susceptible for large and financially damaging accidents. In this context, to avoid the risk and impact of high expenses, O&G companies usually acquire insurance contracts. In practice, although the contract format is typically pre-specified, its parameter magnitudes can be adjusted aiming at maximizing the company total wealth. Therefore, this work proposes a holistic methodology to assess the optimal parameter specification of an insurance contract in the upstream sector of the O&G industry. A non-convex stochastic optimization problem is constructed aiming at maximizing a risk-adjusted measure of the policyholder total wealth. The modeling takes into account the uncertainty on the financial loss of an accident by making use of the safety barriers and precursor information framework. The non-convex optimization problem is cast as an equivalent mixed-integer linear programming problem by combining the scenario-based representation approach with a set of binary reformulation procedures. We illustrate the applicability of the proposed methodology with a set of numerical experiments. In a nutshell, we found that the proposed parameter specification methodology resulted in greater predictability when compared to two quantile-based specification policies and an uninsured company. In fact, the second best policy presented a standard deviation 103% higher than the proposed methodology. Furthermore, the model also provided greater protection against extreme events, since the second best policy presented a Conditional Value-at-Risk 41% higher than the proposed methodology.

Keywords: (R) OR in energy; Insurance contract specification; Mixed-integer linear programming; Risk measures; Safety barriers (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0377221721002010
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ejores:v:295:y:2021:i:2:p:718-732

DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2021.03.011

Access Statistics for this article

European Journal of Operational Research is currently edited by Roman Slowinski, Jesus Artalejo, Jean-Charles. Billaut, Robert Dyson and Lorenzo Peccati

More articles in European Journal of Operational Research from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().