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Generic improvements to least squares monte carlo methods with applications to optimal stopping problems

Wei Wei and Dan Zhu

European Journal of Operational Research, 2022, vol. 298, issue 3, 1132-1144

Abstract: The least squares Monte Carlo method is a standard tool for solving optimal stopping problems. Nonetheless, its performance is subject to the choice of regressors and is often unsatisfactory in the presence of nonlinearity in high-dimensional settings. These two issues are generally present in optimal stopping problems in practice. This paper provides two generic improvements to the least squares Monte Carlo method to address these issues. The first approach employs model averaging to alleviate the dependence on the choice of approximation model, and the other formulates a single-index regression that preserves nonlinearity in high-dimensional settings. We illustrate the efficacy of the proposed methods compared with existing ones on a wide range of stopping problems. The techniques introduced are generally applicable in any scenario where the least squares Monte Carlo method is viable with a negligible increase in computational cost.

Keywords: Finance; Bermudan options; Monte Carlo simulation; Dynamic programming; High-dimensional option pricing (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ejores:v:298:y:2022:i:3:p:1132-1144

DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2021.08.016

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European Journal of Operational Research is currently edited by Roman Slowinski, Jesus Artalejo, Jean-Charles. Billaut, Robert Dyson and Lorenzo Peccati

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