Cyber deterrence with imperfect attribution and unverifiable signaling

Jonathan Welburn, Justin Grana and Karen Schwindt

European Journal of Operational Research, 2023, vol. 306, issue 3, 1399-1416

Abstract: Motivated by the asymmetric information inherent to cyberwarfare, we examine a game of deterrence between an attacker and a defender in which the defender can signal its retaliatory capability but can only imperfectly attribute an attack. We show that there are equilibria in which the defender sends noisy signals to increase its expected payoff. In some equilibria, the defender can use signaling to deter an attacker and increase its payoff. In a different and somewhat counter-intuitive equilibrium, the defender can increase its expected payoff through signaling by luring the attacker to attack more.

Keywords: Game theory; Decision analysis; Security (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ejores:v:306:y:2023:i:3:p:1399-1416

DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2022.07.021

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