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Financial connectedness of BRICS and global sovereign bond markets

Wasim Ahmad, Anil V. Mishra and Kevin J. Daly

Emerging Markets Review, 2018, vol. 37, issue C, 1-16

Abstract: The paper examines the financial connectedness via return and volatility spillovers between Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS) and three global bond market indices represented by the United States of America (USA), European Monetary Union (EMU) and Japan for the period 01 January 1997 to 27 July 2016 (weekly data). We find that Russia followed by South Africa is the net transmitter of shocks within BRICS, implying that the risk arising from these markets may have an adverse impact on others in BRICS. However, China and India exhibit weak connectedness, suggesting that these markets may be useful for hedging and diversification opportunities in BRICS. The networks of pairwise spillover results further confirm this. Among global indices, China appears as highly interconnected with the USA. USA is the strongest transmitter of shocks to BRICS bond indices. The panel data results further confirm the significant determinants of net directional spillover. Thus, we can conclude that BRICS is a heterogeneous asset class even in the case of the bond market. India and China are the markets to look for better risk management strategies.

Keywords: BRICS; Emerging markets; Sovereign bond markets; Market linkages; Volatility spillover; Vector autoregression; Variance decomposition (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C53 E44 F36 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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