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Probabilistic energy consumption analysis in buildings using point estimate method

Mohammad Javad Bordbari, Ali Reza Seifi and Mohammad Rastegar

Energy, 2018, vol. 142, issue C, 716-722

Abstract: This paper analyzes the energy consumption of buildings considering the uncertainty of structural and environmental parameters. To this end, two-point estimate method (2PEM) is used to model the uncertainties. EnergyPlus software is used in this paper to evaluate the energy consumption, the thermal comfort, and the energy cost of a building. We examine the proposed method in a retail building to show the effectiveness of the method in comparison with the Monte-Carlo Simulation and deterministic methods. The results show that the 2PEM method although may cause a bit accuracy loss, it can considerably reduce the simulation time by more than 97%. In addition, a sensitivity analysis is effectuated in this paper to investigate the impacts of different climate zones on the results of energy consumption analysis.

Keywords: Energy efficiency; Energy consumption analysis; Energy cost; Thermal comfort; Two-point estimate method (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:energy:v:142:y:2018:i:c:p:716-722

DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2017.10.091

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