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Forecasting power demand in China with a CNN-LSTM model including multimodal information

Delu Wang, Jun Gan, Jinqi Mao, Fan Chen and Lan Yu

Energy, 2023, vol. 263, issue PE

Abstract: Accurate forecasting of social power demand is the country's primary task in making decisions on power overall planning, coal power withdrawal, and renewable energy investment. The integration of text data based and traditional time series data may improve the power demand forecasting ability. Therefore, based on the idea of multimodal information fusion, we construct a novel comprehensive power demand prediction model CNN-LSTM (Convolution Neural Network, Long Short-term Memory) in a multi-heterogeneous data environment. Empirical results show that the proposed prediction model is effective, and it proves that the organic fusion of time series data and text data can effectively improve forecasting performance. And China's power demand growth will gradually slow down or even show a downward trend in the next two years, which provides an important decision-making reference for the low-carbon transformation of China's power system.

Keywords: Power demand; Forecasting; Multimodal information fusion; Feature fusion; CNN-LSTM (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:energy:v:263:y:2023:i:pe:s0360544222028985

DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2022.126012

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