Stochastic velocity-prediction conscious energy management strategy based self-learning Markov algorithm for a fuel cell hybrid electric vehicle

Xinyou Lin, Yukun Ren and Xinhao Xu

Energy, 2025, vol. 320, issue C

Abstract: The stochasticity of vehicle velocity poses a significant challenge to enhancing fuel cell energy management strategy (EMS). Under these circumstances, a self-learning Markov algorithm-based EMS with stochastic velocity prediction capability is proposed. First, building upon the traditional offline-trained Markov model, a real-time self-learning Markov predictor (SLMP) is proposed, which collects historical data during the vehicle's driving process and continuously updates the state transition matrix on a rolling basis. It provides excellent prediction performance under stochastic driving cycles. and the impact of different prediction time-steps is analyzed. Subsequently, by employing sequential quadratic programming for optimal power allocation, the Stochastic Velocity-Prediction Conscious EMS for fuel cell hybrid electrical vehicle based on SLMP is constructed. Finally, the predictors and EMSs based on back-propagation neural network and offline-trained Markov are selected for performance comparison. The validation results indicate that the performance of SLMP improves as driving mileage accumulates. Meanwhile, the proposed Stochastic Velocity-Prediction Conscious EMS significantly improves economic performance in different driving cycles. Hardware-in-the-Loop experiments further validate the superior fuel cell efficiency and robustness of the proposed EMS. The key contribution lies in the real-time adaptability of the SLMP, which ensures improved prediction accuracy and economic performance as driving mileage accumulates.

Keywords: Velocity prediction; Markov chain; Self-learning; Fuel cell hybrid electric vehicle; Energy management; Predictive control strategy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:energy:v:320:y:2025:i:c:s0360544225008096

DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2025.135167

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