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System scheduling of the zero-carbon hydrogen-based industrial park via cGAN-distributionally robust optimization: A case study in ordos, China

Xuejie Wang, Mingrui Zhao, Zhuoya Siqin, Huiru Zhao and Mingxia Li

Energy, 2025, vol. 336, issue C

Abstract: In the context of China's dual carbon goals, hydrogen-based zero-carbon industrial parks have become a central focus of national strategies for energy conservation and carbon emission reduction. However, the operation of zero-carbon industrial park system (zero-carbon IPS) faces many challenges, such as multiple uncertainties that are difficult to accurately characterize and unclear multi-energy coupling mechanisms. To address this, a distributionally robust optimization approach incorporating data generation techniques is proposed to balance economic performance and operational risk in the scheduling of zero-carbon IPS. Firstly, a conditional generative adversarial network is employed to generate uncertain factor data within the zero-carbon IPS, effectively avoiding reliance on model assumptions and prior distributions, thereby enhancing scenario generation efficiency. Secondly, the deviation between the generated and real-world scenarios is quantified using ϕ-divergence, and a green hydrogen energy certificate market mechanism is introduced. Based on this, a distributionally robust chance-constrained optimization scheduling model is constructed to account for operational risks in the zero-carbon IPS. Finally, the proposed model is reformulated as a mixed-integer linear programming problem using the sample average approximation method and linearization techniques to improve computational efficiency. The zero-carbon IPS in Ordos, China, is used as a case study to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method.

Keywords: Zero-carbon industrial park system; Distributionally robust optimization; Conditional generative adversarial network; Uncertainty; Green hydrogen energy certificate (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:energy:v:336:y:2025:i:c:s0360544225039854

DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2025.138343

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