A model of residential energy use in New Zealand

G.P. Saha and J. Stephenson

Energy, 1980, vol. 5, issue 2, 167-175

Abstract: This paper describes an engineering-economic model which was developed to simulate residential energy use in New Zealand from 1976 to 2000. The model is sensitive to major technological, economic and demographic determinants. It deals with energy use at the national level for four types of fuels (electricity, oil, gas, and “other”) and four types of end uses (space heating, water heating, cooking, and “other”). Simulations from 1961 to 1978 show that the model accurately predicts data on energy use, appliance stock, intensity of use of the appliances, and the construction of new housing units for the historical simulation and ex-post forecast periods. The model demonstrates that the potential of conservation programmes employing proven technology to reduce energy use can be substantial; in fact, it is possible to achieve a nearly zero energy growth with little effect on life style.

Date: 1980
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:energy:v:5:y:1980:i:2:p:167-175

DOI: 10.1016/0360-5442(80)90005-5

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