Evaluation and update of Norwegian and Danish oil production forecasts and implications for Swedish oil import

David Sällh, Mikael Höök, Leena Grandell and Simon Davidsson

Energy, 2014, vol. 65, issue C, 333-345

Abstract: This paper presents an updated historic oil production analysis as well as an updated future oil production forecast for Norway and Denmark. Previous forecasts conducted by academic and official agencies using a variety of methodologies are contrasted and their accuracy examined. The bottom-up field-by-field methodology is found to be precise in the short-term, as it deviates by less than 1% from actual production.

Keywords: Decline curve analysis; Field-by-field analysis; Oil security; Energy security; Herfindahl–Hirschman index (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:energy:v:65:y:2014:i:c:p:333-345

DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2013.11.023

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