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Development and application of a statistical methodology to evaluate the predictive accuracy of building energy baseline models

Jessica Granderson and Phillip N. Price

Energy, 2014, vol. 66, issue C, 981-990

Abstract: This paper documents the development and application of a general statistical methodology to assess the accuracy of baseline energy models, focusing on its application to M&V (measurement and verification) of whole-building energy savings. The methodology complements the principles addressed in resources such as ASHRAE Guideline 14 and the International Performance Measurement and Verification Protocol. It requires fitting a baseline model to data from a “training period” and using the model to predict total electricity consumption during a subsequent “prediction period.”

Keywords: Baseline model; Prediction; Measurement and verification; Energy savings; Performance accuracy; Whole-Building energy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:66:y:2014:i:c:p:981-990