 Energy price dynamics in the U.S. market. Insights from a heterogeneous multi-regime frameworkJosé G. Dias and Sofia Ramos Energy, 2014, vol. 68, issue C, 327-336 Abstract: Energy is a key input in investment decision making with a well-known effect on economic growth. Inelasticity of energy demand urges an understanding of its price dynamics. This paper makes a joint analysis of the price of oil, natural gas, and electricity in U.S. markets using a multi-regime specification that captures the stylized facts of energy prices. Oil and natural gas returns have similar regime dynamics and are well characterized by a high and low volatility regime. Electricity returns have to be parameterized with more regimes: a low volatility, a price spike, and a mean-reverting regime. The California crisis period stands out as a sole regime with extremely high volatility. Our methodology allows the synchronization among regimes to be studied and we find that electricity prices tend to be synchronized in U.S. wholesale markets, while natural gas returns show synchronization with electricity returns in the low volatility regime. Keywords: Electricity prices; Natural gas prices; Oil prices; Regime switching models (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:energy:v:68:y:2014:i:c:p:327-336 DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2014.01.077 Access Statistics for this article Energy is currently edited by Henrik Lund and Mark J. Kaiser More articles in Energy from Elsevier |
Is your work missing from RePEc? Here is how to contribute.
Questions or problems? Check the EconPapers FAQ or send mail to .
EconPapers is hosted by the
School of Business at Örebro University.