The shape of future electricity demand: Exploring load curves in 2050s Germany and Britain

T. Boßmann and Iain Staffell

Energy, 2015, vol. 90, issue P2, 1317-1333

Abstract: National demand for electricity follows a regular and predictable daily pattern. This pattern is set to change due to efficiency improvements, de-industrialisation and electrification of heat and transport. These changes are independent of renewable infeed and are not well understood: contemporary studies assume that electricity load curves will retain their current shape, scaling equally in all hours. Changes to this shape will profoundly affect the electricity industry: increasing the requirements for flexible and peaking capacity, and reducing asset utilisation and profitability.

Keywords: Electricity; Electricity demand; Load forecasting; Load modelling; Electric vehicle; Heat pump (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (81)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:energy:v:90:y:2015:i:p2:p:1317-1333

DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2015.06.082

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