Estimating the economic and social impact of conditional cash transfers from the Prospera Program in Mexico

L. Dary Beltran and M. Carmen Delgado

Evaluation and Program Planning, 2023, vol. 100, issue C

Abstract: This research analyses the Prospera program's impact on poverty and income distribution through a computable general equilibrium model. It concludes that transfers to households have a positive impact on the Mexican economy but hide the real problem—the low wage share—that, in the long term, prevents poverty from worsening but does not reduce the population in poverty or inequality. In a scenario without transfers, neither the population in poverty nor the Gini Index decreases significantly.

Keywords: Applied general equilibrium model; Income redistribution; Social accounting matrix; Poverty; Well-being (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C68 D31 D58 E16 I32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:epplan:v:100:y:2023:i:c:s0149718923000988

DOI: 10.1016/j.evalprogplan.2023.102321

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