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Affective decision making: A theory of optimism bias

Anat Bracha and Donald J. Brown

Games and Economic Behavior, 2012, vol. 75, issue 1, 67-80

Abstract: Optimism bias is inconsistent with the independence of decision weights and payoffs found in models of choice under risk and uncertainty, such as expected utility theory, subjective expected utility, and prospect theory. We therefore propose an alternative model of risky and uncertain choice where decision weights—affective or perceived risk—are endogenous.

Keywords: Affective expected utility; Optimism bias; Demand for insurance (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D01 D81 G22 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (38)

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Related works:
Working Paper: Affective Decision-Making: A Theory of Optimism-Bias (2010) Downloads
Working Paper: Affective Decision-Making: A Theory of Optimism-Bias (2010) Downloads
Working Paper: Affective decision making: a theory of optimism bias (2010) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:gamebe:v:75:y:2012:i:1:p:67-80

DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2011.11.004

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