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The effect of competition on trade: Evidence from the collapse of international cartels

Margaret Levenstein, Jagadeesh Sivadasan and Valerie Suslow

International Journal of Industrial Organization, 2015, vol. 39, issue C, 56-70

Abstract: How do changes in competitive intensity affect trade patterns? Some cartels may find it advantageous to eliminate cross-hauling and divide markets geographically. We exploit a quasi-natural experiment associated with increased antitrust enforcement to determine if market division strategies were used in seven recently-prosecuted international cartels. Since antitrust activity is unlikely to affect spatial patterns of demand and supply (other than through its effect on the competitive environment), enforcement-induced changes are ideally suited to study the effect of competition on trade patterns. Analyzing the cartels individually and as a group, we find no significant change in spatial patterns of trade following cartel breakup; in particular, there is no systematic change in the effect of distance on trade. These results suggest that cross-hauling is not uncommon under collusion and hence that the existence of cross-hauling by itself does not provide evidence of effective competition.

Keywords: Multimarket collusion; Gravity; Cross-hauling; Cartels; Market allocation; Antitrust policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F12 F23 D43 D21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Handle: RePEc:eee:indorg:v:39:y:2015:i:c:p:56-70