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Are zombies for real? Evidence from zombie dynamics

Satu Nurmi, Juuso Vanhala and Matti Virén

International Journal of Industrial Organization, 2022, vol. 85, issue C

Abstract: This paper analyses zombie firms in a dynamic setup where firm survival not only depends on its current returns, but the firm's exit decision is forward-looking. Building on a model of firm entry and exit and using firm-level data from Finland, we show that the expected future value and growth of a firm are key determinants in whether it is likely to recover from losses accumulated during a spell of weak performance. We find that including firm growth in zombie identification substantially reduces zombie incidence in the data as one third of low interest coverage ratio firms in a common zombie definition are growing companies. Moreover, over a half of exits from zombie status are recoveries to become healthy firms. A policy that may promote the survival of zombie firms is public subsidies. Our analysis does indeed support the notion that subsidized firms are less likely to die, but also their chances of recovery are higher.

Keywords: Zombies; Firm entry and exit; Firm death and recovery; Firm growth; Subsidies (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D21 D22 D24 G33 H25 L16 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:indorg:v:85:y:2022:i:c:s0167718722000637

DOI: 10.1016/j.ijindorg.2022.102888

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International Journal of Industrial Organization is currently edited by P. Bajari, B. Caillaud and N. Gandal

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