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Flavorants and addiction: An empirical analysis of cigarette bans and taxation

Jiawei Chen and Colin Reinhardt

International Journal of Industrial Organization, 2025, vol. 99, issue C

Abstract: We evaluate the proposed FDA menthol cigarette ban using aggregate-level retail data and micro-level household data. The model incorporates addiction and household heterogeneity, with a focus on low-income households and the Black community, who consume menthol cigarettes the most. The ban reduces cigarette usage by 12.6% and the Black smoking rate by 35%, while demand for e-cigarettes and cessation products increases by 4.9% and 1.7%, respectively. A $1.02-per-pack cigarette sales tax is as effective as the menthol cigarette ban in reducing cigarette usage, while resulting in a smaller reduction in consumer surplus across most demographic groups, especially Black Americans. Including non-tobacco flavored e-cigarettes in the ban reduces cigarette consumption similarly, while e-cigarette usage decreases by 46%.

Keywords: Demand estimation; Consumer heterogeneity; Tobacco consumption; Addiction; Public health intervention; Policy evaluation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D04 D12 I18 L66 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:indorg:v:99:y:2025:i:c:s0167718725000141

DOI: 10.1016/j.ijindorg.2025.103147

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